Topic: Military history/Intelligence (Page 3)

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๐Ÿ”— Sinking of the Rainbow Warrior

๐Ÿ”— France ๐Ÿ”— Military history ๐Ÿ”— Terrorism ๐Ÿ”— New Zealand ๐Ÿ”— Military history/Intelligence ๐Ÿ”— Military history/Maritime warfare ๐Ÿ”— Military history/French military history ๐Ÿ”— Shipwrecks ๐Ÿ”— New Zealand/New Zealand politics ๐Ÿ”— Military history/European military history

The sinking of the Rainbow Warrior, codenamed Opรฉration Satanique, was a bombing operation by the "action" branch of the French foreign intelligence services, the Direction gรฉnรฉrale de la sรฉcuritรฉ extรฉrieure (DGSE), carried out on 10 July 1985. During the operation, two operatives sank the flagship of the Greenpeace fleet, the Rainbow Warrior, at the Port of Auckland in New Zealand on its way to a protest against a planned French nuclear test in Moruroa. Fernando Pereira, a photographer, drowned on the sinking ship.

France initially denied responsibility, but two French agents were captured by New Zealand Police and charged with arson, conspiracy to commit arson, willful damage, and murder. As the truth came out, the scandal resulted in the resignation of the French Defence Minister Charles Hernu. The two agents pleaded guilty to manslaughter and were sentenced to ten years in prison. They spent a little over two years confined to the French island of Hao before being freed by the French government.

Several political figures, including then New Zealand Prime Minister David Lange, have referred to the bombing as an act of terrorism or state-sponsored terrorism.

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๐Ÿ”— The Dreyfus affair

๐Ÿ”— France ๐Ÿ”— Military history ๐Ÿ”— Politics ๐Ÿ”— Military history/Intelligence ๐Ÿ”— Judaism ๐Ÿ”— Military history/French military history ๐Ÿ”— Jewish history ๐Ÿ”— European history ๐Ÿ”— Military history/European military history

The Dreyfus Affair (French: l'affaire Dreyfus, pronouncedย [lafษ›หส dสษ›fys]) was a political scandal that divided the Third French Republic from 1894 until its resolution in 1906. "The Affair", as it is known in French, has come to symbolise modern injustice in the Francophone world, and it remains one of the most notable examples of a complex miscarriage of justice and antisemitism. The role played by the press and public opinion proved influential in the conflict.

The scandal began in December 1894 when Captain Alfred Dreyfus was convicted of treason. Dreyfus was a 35-year-old Alsatian French artillery officer of Jewish descent. He was sentenced to life imprisonment for allegedly communicating French military secrets to the German Embassy in Paris, and was imprisoned on Devil's Island in French Guiana, where he spent nearly five years.

In 1896, evidence came to lightโ€”primarily through an investigation instigated by Georges Picquart, head of counter-espionageโ€”which identified the real culprit as a French Army major named Ferdinand Walsin Esterhazy. When high-ranking military officials suppressed the new evidence, a military court unanimously acquitted Esterhazy after a trial lasting only two days. The Army laid additional charges against Dreyfus, based on forged documents. Subsequently, ร‰mile Zola's open letter J'Accuseโ€ฆ!, stoked a growing movement of support for Dreyfus, putting pressure on the government to reopen the case.

In 1899, Dreyfus was returned to France for another trial. The intense political and judicial scandal that ensued divided French society between those who supported Dreyfus (now called "Dreyfusards"), such as Sarah Bernhardt, Anatole France, Henri Poincarรฉ and Georges Clemenceau, and those who condemned him (the anti-Dreyfusards), such as ร‰douard Drumont, the director and publisher of the antisemitic newspaper La Libre Parole. The new trial resulted in another conviction and a 10-year sentence, but Dreyfus was pardoned and released. In 1906, Dreyfus was exonerated and reinstated as a major in the French Army. He served during the whole of World War I, ending his service with the rank of lieutenant-colonel. He died in 1935.

The affair from 1894 to 1906 divided France into pro-republican, anticlerical, Dreyfusards and pro-Army, mostly Catholic "anti-Dreyfusards". It embittered French politics and encouraged radicalisation.

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๐Ÿ”— Blind Man's Bluff: The Untold Story of American Submarine Espionage

๐Ÿ”— Military history ๐Ÿ”— Military history/North American military history ๐Ÿ”— Military history/United States military history ๐Ÿ”— Books ๐Ÿ”— Military history/Intelligence ๐Ÿ”— Military history/Maritime warfare ๐Ÿ”— Military history/Military historiography

Blind Man's Bluff: The Untold Story of American Submarine Espionage (ISBNย 0-06-103004-X) by Sherry Sontag, Christopher Drew, and Annette Lawrence Drew, published in 1998 by PublicAffairs, is a non-fiction book about U.S. Navy submarine operations during the Cold War. Several operations are described in the book, such as the use of USSย Parche to tap Soviet undersea communications cables and USSย Halibut to do the same in Operation Ivy Bells.

The book also contains an extensive list of collisions between Western and Soviet submarines and U.S. submarine awards.

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๐Ÿ”— Circular Reporting

๐Ÿ”— Military history ๐Ÿ”— Military history/Intelligence ๐Ÿ”— Journalism

Circular reporting, or false confirmation, is a situation in source criticism where a piece of information appears to come from multiple independent sources, but in reality comes from only one source. In many cases, the problem happens mistakenly through sloppy reporting or intelligence-gathering. However, the situation can also be intentionally contrived by the source or reporter as a way of reinforcing the widespread belief in its information.

This problem occurs in a variety of fields, including intelligence gathering, journalism, and scholarly research. It is of particular concern in military intelligence because the original source has a higher likelihood of wanting to pass on misinformation, and because the chain of reporting is more prone to being obscured. It is also a problem in journalism and the development of conspiracy theories, in which the primary goal of a source spreading unlikely or hard-to-believe information is to make it appear to be widely known.

The case of the 2002 Niger uranium forgeries was a classic instance of circular reporting by intelligence agencies.

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๐Ÿ”— Analysis of Competing Hypotheses

๐Ÿ”— Military history ๐Ÿ”— Military history/Intelligence

The analysis of competing hypotheses (ACH) is a methodology for evaluating multiple competing hypotheses for observed data. It was developed by Richards (Dick) J. Heuer, Jr., a 45-year veteran of the Central Intelligence Agency, in the 1970s for use by the Agency. ACH is used by analysts in various fields who make judgments that entail a high risk of error in reasoning. ACH aims to help an analyst overcome, or at least minimize, some of the cognitive limitations that make prescient intelligence analysis so difficult to achieve.

ACH was a step forward in intelligence analysis methodology, but it was first described in relatively informal terms. Producing the best available information from uncertain data remains the goal of researchers, tool-builders, and analysts in industry, academia and government. Their domains include data mining, cognitive psychology and visualization, probability and statistics, etc. Abductive reasoning is an earlier concept with similarities to ACH.

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